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 August 2nd

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SwePeso
Patron Saint of Lost Yaks

30421 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:12:04
Will USA be declared bancrupt and thrown into recession?



N 56°04'39.26"
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Michael Valentine Jones
Yak DBA Kernel (pronounced Colonel)

7020 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:17:05
No, they'll just borrow more money and raise our taxes.





CODO ERGO SUM
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robvolk
Most Valuable Yak

15732 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:17:30
I guess you're talking about this: http://goldharvest.blogspot.com/2011/05/august-2-2011-is-financial-system-d-day.html
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tkizer
Almighty SQL Goddess

38200 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:17:48
We're already bankrupt and in a recession.

Tara Kizer
Microsoft MVP for Windows Server System - SQL Server
http://weblogs.sqlteam.com/tarad/

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SwePeso
Patron Saint of Lost Yaks

30421 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:37:44
I read an article with Ron Paul (don't know his credibility or authority) and one with Professor Schiller.

I know when Bill Clinton resignd in 2001, there were a surplus in your finances but after George W Bush's tax reductions and the wars in Irak and Afghanistan the debt increased.
Barack Obama continued spending money by saving banks and automobile industry.

I thought USA leaved recession in May 2009?


N 56°04'39.26"
E 12°55'05.63"
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robvolk
Most Valuable Yak

15732 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:43:21
It depends on how you define "recession". I remember we were in a recession for about 6 months in 2008 before they finally said, hey, we're in a recession.

There's an official definition somewhere but it's ridiculously selective, like if you have 99 out of its 100 points then you're not technically in a recession.
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SwePeso
Patron Saint of Lost Yaks

30421 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:44:46
I see.

Are the average americans worried? Besides seeing their houseprice decline?


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robvolk
Most Valuable Yak

15732 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:49:59
My house value has already declined almost 30%, I'd almost welcome it dropping even more, I can probably write the whole thing off.
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Michael Valentine Jones
Yak DBA Kernel (pronounced Colonel)

7020 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 17:53:58
quote:
Originally posted by Peso

I see.

Are the average americans worried? Besides seeing their houseprice decline?


N 56°04'39.26"
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It turns out that fighting 3 wars at a time is kind of expensive, as is taking on the bad debts of huge poorly managed companies, not to mention paying interest on all existing debts.

Not sure where it all ends, but it doesn't seem like it's going to be pretty.






CODO ERGO SUM
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tkizer
Almighty SQL Goddess

38200 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 18:05:50
Americans are very worried about the economy. Unemployment is sky high and continuing to see layoffs. Housing market is in the toilet and likely will be that way for years. People are predicting that we won't see any good news for over 5 years, maybe 10.

Tara Kizer
Microsoft MVP for Windows Server System - SQL Server
http://weblogs.sqlteam.com/tarad/

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Doug G
Constraint Violating Yak Guru

331 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-29 : 23:57:42
quote:
People are predicting that we won't see any good news for over 5 years, maybe 10.
Or never again.


======
Doug G
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russell
Pyro-ma-ni-yak

5072 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-30 : 00:59:08
As long as it's after July 30th. Doing a big show on that date
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spirit1
Cybernetic Yak Master

11752 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-30 : 05:54:00
house prices aren't dropping. they're normalizing. everyone thought that housing will go up forever and of course it didn't.
To have sustainable housing (not a bubble) the price of living quarters for a 4 person family can't exceed more than 3x-4x the average familiy income.
Combine that with the fact that since cca 1983 the US GDP started becoming more and more disconnected from the ammount of borrowing and you have a serious problem.
All of this hit the wall in 2007 and then the print more money, borrow more money came into play when all you needed to do is
let the "too big to fail" actually fail and you'd be on the up right now.
it took cca 25 years and there's no way to feel better until at least 2025.
that's what you get from living outside your means. and this isn't just a US problem.
Greece did the same thing as have many of the Mediteranean countries.

___________________________________________________________________________
Causing trouble since 1980
Blog: http://weblogs.sqlteam.com/mladenp
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SQL Server MVP
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Michael Valentine Jones
Yak DBA Kernel (pronounced Colonel)

7020 Posts

Posted - 2011-06-30 : 21:23:02
Wonder where all the money went?

Price of U.S. wars: $4.4 trillion?
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0611/58002.html


A trillion here, a trillion there, pretty soon you're talking real money.




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Transact Charlie
Master Smack Fu Yak Hacker

3451 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-01 : 07:36:41
Are there any *average* Americans on here? I have a mental image of an *average* American and you guys don't fit it.

quote:
Originally posted by Peso

I see.

Are the average americans worried? Besides seeing their houseprice decline?


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Charlie
===============================================================
Msg 3903, Level 16, State 1, Line 1736
The ROLLBACK TRANSACTION request has no corresponding BEGIN TRANSACTION
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nigelrivett
Master Smack Fu Yak Hacker

3385 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-01 : 08:05:15
If only we hadn't abandonned you in 1783 you might be as prosperous as us now.
(Last day of work today - ever).

==========================================
Cursors are useful if you don't know sql.
SSIS can be used in a similar way.
Beer is not cold and it isn't fizzy.
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SwePeso
Patron Saint of Lost Yaks

30421 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-01 : 08:39:18
You are going to retire, Nigel?



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nigelrivett
Master Smack Fu Yak Hacker

3385 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-01 : 08:57:52
Again - it tends not to stick as I get bored easily. Doing lots of studying with the Open University this time so I have hopes.

This one was meant to be a quick 1 month contract which somehow ended up at 5 months.

==========================================
Cursors are useful if you don't know sql.
SSIS can be used in a similar way.
Beer is not cold and it isn't fizzy.
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ajthepoolman
Constraint Violating Yak Guru

384 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-01 : 14:23:30
quote:
Originally posted by Transact Charlie

Are there any *average* Americans on here? I have a mental image of an *average* American and you guys don't fit it.



I consider myself one.

White
Upper 30's
Divorced with 2 kids
Own a house
Own a car
Have some retirement money
Could stand to lose about 25 more pounds

Where I try to differ is I do not have credit cards and haven't for 9 years now. Other than a mortgage I have little debt.

Am I worried? yes. I see what is happening in Greece and other countries that are struggling financially. Govt must learn to live within their means.

I work in a for profit business now, but I spent 10 years in non-profit. I personally think that the non-profit industry could really use some shaking up and consolidation of services. I am big on privatizing many govt services. But if you even mention cutting services, the non-profits go to the reliable "millions of women, children, elderly, minorities, puppies, (on and on) will fall victim, die, be malnurished, get evicted (also on and on)" playbook. It is sickening to see really. I am not trying to bash all the agencies that earn a dollar from the federal government by providing services, but there are very few benchmarks in the industry to measure the effectiveness. I think it is time to change that.

I know it won't solve all the budget problems, but our roads are crumbling and our kids are using history books that don't even go into the 1990s. If I had my way, the feds would fund infastructure fully, education fully and military defense fully. All other stuff can find another way. Cut foreign aid and start funding domestic aid! Else we go the way of other great civilizations that grew too big for their britches.

I am ajthepoolman and I approve this message.

Hey, it compiles.
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Lumbago
Norsk Yak Master

3271 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-04 : 02:39:14
USA is a fascinating country and I like visiting a lot. But when it comes to politics and economics (both foreign and domestic) I really don't get it and I haven't for a very long time. For example when it comes to health care. Why on earth doesn't a country make sure that it's own tax paying citizens are able to keep paying tax?? I simply don't get it.

- Lumbago
My blog-> http://thefirstsql.com/2011/02/07/regular-expressions-advanced-string-matching-and-new-split-function-sql-server-2008-r2/
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ajthepoolman
Constraint Violating Yak Guru

384 Posts

Posted - 2011-07-05 : 10:36:05
Probably Lumbago because we are already paying for a federal health care system for our lower income earners, (Medicaid and Medicare) that lose billions in fraud and poor management as it is. I honestly don't have any answers on how to fix it though. It is such a beast that it might be too late to pull it back in.

Hey, it compiles.
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